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Why the Electoral College is better for America than direct elections
by James R Whitson
November 4, 2008
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On election night the big colorful map of the United States will once again dominate
our TV screens. The network anchors will explain the "archaic way" we elect
presidents while analysts will tell us why this "anachronistic process" needs to be
eliminated in favor of direct popular elections. There will undoubtably be numerous
mentions of all the times the "system has failed". What you won't hear is any
defense of the Electoral College. And that is a shame, because if you can look past
the populist appeal of the popular vote there are tangible benefits the current
electoral process has over direct elections.
The United States is a hugely diverse country. We have a diversity of races,
religions, nationalities, politics, and ideas. But we also have diversity in our
geography. We have big states vs little states, north vs south, urban areas vs rural
areas, and east coast vs west coast vs "fly-over country". Unlike the popular vote
which takes all that diversity, throws it out the window, and mashes everybody into
one monolithic number of about 100 million, the Electoral College tries to look at
the nation as a whole while still respecting our differences -- especially when there
is not a lot of agreement -- when choosing our president. How so? By forcing
candidates to make their appeal broader than they would need to in a popular vote
election. I know a lot of people are scoffing at this and I admit that this may not have
been the intent at its founding. But after over 200 years of elections the evidence
shows that that is what the Electoral College system has become. Need some
examples?
The Electoral College discourages candidates from pandering to specific regions
of the country. In 1888, Grover Cleveland basically ran a one issue campaign that
was only popular in the south. He swept that region during the election in stunning
fashion. In fact in six southern states he received over 65% of the vote! The rest of
the country in the north, mid-west, and west supported Benjamin Harrison.
Cleveland ended up just beating Harrison in the popular vote by about 90,000
votes -- less than 1 percent of the 11 million cast. But without the votes of those six
southern states, Harrison won the other thirty-two states by over 300,000 votes.
Harrison ended up handily winning the electoral vote 233-168 because his appeal
was to a much wider swath of the country, while Cleveland limited his to a specific
area with an issue that would bring them out in larger numbers. The popular vote
didn't reflect the real will of the country as much as it represented an overly zealous
region. The Electoral College rewards candidates who draw votes from around the
county rather than in a limited area.
In a related vein, the Electoral College forces the candidates to fight for votes rather
than "preach to the choir". Why is that a good thing? It is why Barrack Obama is in
Virginia talking about tax cuts and John McCain is in Pennsylvania talking about
regulating businesses! In almost every state the person who gets the most votes
wins all that states' electoral votes. So there is no benefit to Obama to campaign in
Illinois where he is winning by 20 points or for McCain to do the same in Utah. They
have those states sewn up and they move on to where the undecideds are. And
there they, once again, have to make a broader appeal to reach those voters who
have not made up their minds. This is in contrast to what would happen in a direct
election. If the popular vote were all that mattered why would Obama, for example,
spend any time moderating his views and spending a lot of money and time for
some extra undecided votes when he can just stay in a Democratic heavy area, not
worry about how his positions might play to the middle, and spend less time and
money getting more Democratic voters to the polls? As partisan as things are now,
without the Electoral College things would be much worse as candidates would
spend the entire election catering to their base rather than working to get a more
inclusive set of voters into their tent.
The current electoral system protects minority interests and opinions from being
overpowered by a simple majority, or worse, what the founders called a "tyrannical
majority". In a direct election, if 55% of voters are pro-choice no candidate needs to
worry about the other 45% in the minority since he can win without them. However,
in the Electoral College system even if the nation at large is 55% for an issue the
one state a candidate may need to win could be 55% against it. Therefore
candidates must at least acknowledge the concerns of the minority rather than run
roughshod over them. This can apply to other types of minorities as well, such as
racial or vocational. About 13% of the country is black. Less than 2% of the country
are farmers. Can you discard their opinions and needs in a popular vote election?
Maybe. But that is even less possible under our current system. African-Americans
make up 25% or more of the population in several states. And farmers are an
important constituency in certain parts of the country. You ignore them at your own
peril in the Electoral College as a minority's influence can be greater within the
smaller pool of voters in individual states.
Another way the Electoral College reflects the will of our population as a whole
better than a direct election is by limiting the number of viable candidates to two or
three that best represent the different views of the country. A fringe candidate would
have a lot of trouble winning a single state, let alone enough votes to win the
presidency under our current system. (For example, in 1992, Ross Perot -- a
candidate who was not that extreme at all -- won an impressive 19% of the popular
vote but didn't win a single state anywhere.) Political parties know they need to find candidates that have
widespread appeal in order to be able to win in the Electoral College and therefore
their winners, after going through a national primary process, usually are not that
far out of the mainstream. Under a popular vote election this party system falls
apart. That may sound like a good thing with all the partisan rhetoric being hurled
around this election season. But things could actually be worse. In a direct election
why would candidates go through primaries to eliminate themselves from
contention? That would become a thing of the past as everyone would decide to
take their chances in the general election where all their supporters can vote
directly for them. You think partisan mud-slinging is bad now? Imagine the intra-
party battles that would occur if, for example, McCain had to fight not only Obama
for independent voters but also Mike Huckabee for voters of his own party all the
way into November! If every faction of the Democratic and Republican parties ran a
candidate you could end up with maybe six major candidates running for president
and fracturing the popular vote. And that's where the biggest danger lies. With so
many people splitting the vote the door opens for an extreme candidate most of the
country would never want leading them actually winning. One large national direct
election would encourage more candidates to run, while the smaller 50 state (and
DC) Electoral College elections limit it to a smaller field of more representative
candidates.
These are just a few of the arguments that support our current system, but there are
others. And this is not to say there aren't any problems with the Electoral College.
But in a country as large as ours -- geographically and population-wise -- no one
could come up with a perfect way to elect a president. The system we use now
does a better job of the complicated task of reflecting the will of the people as a
whole than resorting to a simple popular vote.
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Why the Electoral College is better for America than direct elections
© James R Whitson, President Elect
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