President Elect 2008 Electoral College Projection (9/2/2008)

President Elect's analysis of the 2008 Electoral College vote, pitting Republican Senator John McCain against Democratic Senator Barack Obama, shows that if the election were today the United States would be electing its first black President.

President Elect projects that Senator Obama will win 286 electoral votes and Senator McCain will win 252.

As I mentioned two weeks ago, big changes are brewing. More states are in play by both candidates than in 2000 or 2004. States that should be solidly red or blue are seeing different shades. At this point I can not even guess where this election might end up as too many states are just too close to call. But of course, unlike the major news sources, projecting the too close to call states is what I do here!

Changes since last time: Obama and McCain have solidified their standings in Iowa and Missouri respectively -- for the time being. Obama is looking strong enough in Virginia that he could overcome their tendency to vote Republican in presidential elections. And Ohio is currently swinging towards McCain. But like any swing it may start going the other way soon.

Other items of note: The Dakotas are still not solidly behind McCain. New Mexico and Colorado are just about as close to tied as you can get. Ignoring the seriousness of presidential elections for a moment, I think we can say this particular election is getting very interesting and could be a lot of fun to watch!