President Elect 2008 Electoral College Projection (10/17/2008)

President Elect's analysis of the 2008 Electoral College vote, pitting Republican Senator John McCain against Democratic Senator Barack Obama, shows that if the election were today the United States would be electing its first black President.

President Elect projects that Senator Obama will win 338 electoral votes and Senator McCain will win 200.

Obama's lead is increasing but the upwards trend is starting to slow -- if only because he's running out of states to take! The move of Florida to his column, along with Ohio and Virginia previously, would all but be the end of McCain. However, McCain is actually still in this thing. Indiana is moving back to this column. And I almost left Nevada pink and moved Ohio back to him. There is a small, but definite reversal of Obama's recent gains in some traditionally red states. Unfortunately for the McCain camp it may be too little too late. Obama's lead is impressive considering recent close elections. But as the candidate said himself this week, this is no time for his supporters to get cocky. In 1980, Carter had an 8 point lead in the polls two weeks before the election. Late undecided voters broke Reagan's way. And that long shot may be McCain's only hope at this point.