President Elect 2008 Electoral College Projection (5/5/2008)

President Elect's analysis of the 2008 Electoral College vote, pitting presumptive Republican nominee John McCain against probable Democratic nominee Barack Obama, shows that if the election were today the United States would be electing the oldest person to ever ascend to the presidency.

President Elect projects that Senator McCain will win 279 electoral votes and Senator Obama will win 259.

I've got to be honest with you guys. I would not have believed this map three months ago! The drawn out campaign for the Democratic nomination, while extremely interesting, is taking its toll on the nominees. The fact that there are still Democrats fighting each other, digging up dirt on each other, and exploiting the gaffes of each other while the Republicans sit back, raise money (but not have to spend much), and solidify their base has changed this election dramatically.

So how exactly have the Republicans turned things around? While the Democrats have been distracted with each other and focusing on whatever happens to be the next primary state, the Republicans have been paying close attention to states they need to hold onto in the general election and doing what needs to be done. That's the secret of this election that is not being reported. The Democrats may be doing well in national polling, but state-by-state polling is not going their way lately.

The map has taken a definite Republican tilt in the past two months. While the Democrats have a very solid base to work on, the longer they take to pick a nominee, the more the Republicans are solidifying their base of states and picking off Obama's.

Previous Electoral Analyses:
April 7, 2008: Obama (D) - 275; McCain (R) - 263
March 2, 2008: Obama (D) - 341; McCain (R) - 197